Fed Guaranteed To Cut Interest Rates? Polymarket, Kalshi Bettors Expect Nearly 100% Chance As Jerome Powell Takes Center Stage

Cryptocurrency bettors are almost certain that the Federal Reserve will enact a quarter-point interest rate cut at the end of its December meeting on Wednesday.

Prediction Markets Give A Thumbs Up

The odds of a 25 basis-point cut stood at 97% on the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket, up from 70% only a month ago.

On the other hand, the probability that rates will remain unchanged from the current 3.75%-4.00% range has collapsed to 3%.

As of this writing, over $348 million has been wagered on the outcome. The market’s resolution will depend on the Federal Open Market Committee’s statement following the Wednesday meeting.

See Also: The Fed Is Approaching A Turning Point And…

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‘Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Says He’s Learning About Tokenization And How It Is Rewiring Wall Street

Michael Burry, best known for his bet against the housing market portrayed in “The Big Short,” expressed interest on Tuesday in learning about tokenization, a trend of converting physical assets into digital form on the blockchain.

Burry Is Learning About Tokenization

Burry shared a story from fintech news outlet The Paypapers on X, highlighting the growth of the tokenized asset market and its adoption by Wall Street.

“I am learning. #justkeepswimming,” Burry said, suggesting his eagerness to know more about the popular narrative.

See Also: Michael Burry Asks For Photos Of Warehoused Nvidia GPUs After Analyst Questions Jensen Huang’s Blackwell Shipment Numbers

Are Tokenized Assets… Read more on Benzinga

Elon Musk Should Make X ‘Totem Pole’ For Free Speech, Not A ‘Death Star’ For Hate Sessions, Says Ethereum Co-Founder Vitalik Buterin

Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) co-founder Vitalik Buterin voiced concerns Tuesday over Elon Musk’s handling of free speech on his social media platform, X, amid what he alleged was a “coordinated hate” against the European Union.

Buterin Accuses Musk Of Tweaking X Algorithms

Buterin highlighted how X, instead of being a “global totem pole” for free speech, has turned into a “death star laser” for “coordinated hate sessions,” straying from the principles Musk often champions.

“I’m seriously worried that huge backlashes against values I hold dear are coming in a few years’ time,” the cryptocurrency mogul said, stating that attacks on Europe are getting “unhinged” on…

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22-Year-Old Pleads Guilty In $263 Million Crypto Scheme

A 22-year-old California resident has pleaded guilty to his role in a multi-state social engineering scheme that stole roughly $263 million in crypto.

Evan Tangeman of Newport Beach, California, admitted laundering $3.5 million in crypto for the criminal enterprise, the U.S. Attorney’s Office announced Monday.

Tangeman pleaded guilty to participating in a Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations (RICO) conspiracy before U.S. District Court Judge Colleen Kollar-Kotelly. 

Sentencing is scheduled for April 24, 2026. He is the ninth defendant to enter a guilty plea in this specific investigation.

The court also unsealed the Second Superseding Indictment, adding three…

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Analyzing Jup Lend vs. Kamino

This is a segment from the 0xResearch newsletter. To read full editions, subscribe.

Over the past several days, the exchange between Kamino and Jupiter has escalated from healthy competition to a clear public dispute. The events started on Nov. 27, when Jup Lend introduced a refinancing tool on its frontend to migrate looping positions from Kamino Multiply directly into Jup Lend with a single click. The refinance operation initiated an atomic transaction involving four steps:

Repay outstanding debt on Kamino.

Withdraw the associated collateral.

Transfer these assets to Jupiter Lend.

Recreate the position inside Jupiter Lend, maintaining the same loan amount and… Read more on Blockworks

Bitcoin Bulls Trim Near-Term Price Targets As Demand Fades

Wall Street’s biggest Bitcoin bulls are cutting near-term price targets after the latest market pullback. Their longer-term outlook remains intact. Standard Chartered, one of crypto’s most prominent backers, halved its Bitcoin forecasts in a note published Tuesday. 

The bank now sees Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by the end of 2025, down from $200,000, and $150,000 by the end of 2026. 

Its long-term target of $500,000 remains, though the timeline has been pushed to 2030 from 2028.

The downgrade reflects a shift in demand. Corporate treasury buying, once a major driver, has faded. Exchange-traded fund flows have slowed. 

Geoffrey Kendrick, Standard Chartered’s global…

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Bitcoin-Powered Signatures Eye $60B DocuSign Shakeup

AuthenticDoc, a decentralized digital signature platform developed in El Salvador, launched on November 13, 2025, at the Adopting Bitcoin conference in San Salvador. The tool uses the Nostr protocol for its open-source, decentralized architecture, incorporating Bitcoin-compatible cryptography to enable tamper-proof document verification and user-controlled private keys.

Co-founder Fabian, of the Salvadoran firm illuminodes, announced the release during the conference. “The digital signature landscape is ripe for innovation, and AuthenticDoc is leading the charge,” Fabian said. “We’ve harnessed the power of decentralized open protocol technology to deliver unparalleled…

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OCC Approves Banks As Intermediaries In Crypto Transactions

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has clarified that national banks may engage in “riskless principal” transactions involving crypto-assets.

In its new Interpretive Letter 1188, the OCC explained that such transactions allow a bank to act as a principal between two customers, buying crypto from one while simultaneously selling it to another. 

The bank does not hold the assets in inventory, effectively serving as a broker acting on behalf of clients.

This guidance follows a broader regulatory trend to ease restrictions on crypto activities within the traditional banking sector. In March, the OCC removed prior requirements for banks to seek advance…

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Jack Mallers Vows To Buy ‘As Much Bitcoin As Possible’

Twenty One Capital, the Bitcoin-native company co-founded by Jack Mallers, officially began trading on the New York Stock Exchange today under the ticker XXI, following a business combination with Cantor Equity Partners.

The firm debuted with a BTC treasury of 43,514 BTC, valued at roughly $3.9 billion, immediately making it the world’s third-largest publicly traded Bitcoin holder.

Speaking live on CNBC, Mallers said the company plans to “buy as much Bitcoin as [they] possibly can”. He emphasized that the firm is not simply a treasury holder but intends to build businesses around BTC, including capital markets advisory, lending models, and educational media. 

JUST IN:…

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On The Value Of Holding The History Of Bitcoin In Your Hands

In Bitcoin culture, there is still a noticeable gap between the importance of the subject and the forms in which it is presented. Much of what exists is entirely digital, quick to disappear, or shaped by a purely functional aesthetic. Even projects that engage with Bitcoin’s history or its artistic dimension often end up looking more like documentation or marketing than something with cultural presence.

When I first saw History of Bitcoin in person at the Bitcoin Conference 2025 in Amsterdam, that contrast became quite clear. The physical object had a calm, deliberate quality that stood out in an environment dominated by screens and fast exchanges. It didn’t feel like something…

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