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On March 17, 2026, a single day of US spot Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) ETF inflows totaled $199.37 million.
Two days later, the FOMC held interest rates steady, and geopolitical risk spiked.
By March 20, the same ETF market was recording $52.1 million in daily outflows.
Bitcoin dropped below $69,200 on March 22 as a Middle East escalation triggered $299 million in liquidations across the derivatives market.
That 96-hour window captures exactly what Bitcoin investors face in 2026: two powerful forces pulling in opposite directions, with no clear winner yet.
This article examines those two forces: the historical four-year cycle model and the institutional adoption thesis, and presents the current…
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