The Fed cut upshot and FOMC future projections

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Welcome to the On the Margin Newsletter, brought to you by Ben Strack, Casey Wagner and Felix Jauvin. Here’s what you’ll find in today’s edition:

Felix shares his takeaways from yesterday’s Fed cut, and the FOMC’s future economic/rate projections.
A former president walks into a bar and buys burgers…with bitcoin. Big deal, or no?
What analysts and execs are saying about the latest 50bps rate cut, and a look at what to watch for next.

Digging deeper into yesterday’s FOMC meeting

And so concludes the most…

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LATEST: Cardano Achieves Over 70,000 New Smart Contracts in 2024

The Cardano (ADA) ecosystem has experienced significant expansion in its smart contract capabilities throughout 2024. Plutus V2 contracts have particularly soared, jumping from 8,083 scripts on January 1 to 80,437 by September 18, marking an impressive increase of 72,354 contracts. This surge highlights Cardano’s growing influence in the blockchain sector.

Alongside the dynamic growth of Plutus V2, the Plutus V1 scripts have also continued to develop, albeit at a steadier pace. With an increase from 6,296 to 6,711 scripts this year, the persistent relevance of these original versions signifies a robust foundation for the ecosystem’s ongoing evolution.

Furthermore, the launch of Plutus V3 as part of the Chang hard fork and its initial deployment on the SanchoNet testnet underscore a significant enhancement in functionality. By late August, 18 new V3 scripts were active, contributing to a total ecosystem growth of 72,787 new smart contracts in 2024. This development not only reflects Cardano’s technological advancements but also reinforces its position in the forefront of blockchain innovation.

Data

Daily US Bitcoin ETFs Net Flow Analysis (As of September 19, 2024)

As of September 19, 2024, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs recorded an overall net outflow of 462 BTC, equating to a value decrease of approximately $29.3 million. BlackRock’s IBIT ETF held steady at 557,550 BTC with no inflow or outflow, while Grayscale’s GBTC ETF saw a slight reduction of 9 BTC, leaving it with 221,794 BTC.

ARK Invest’s ARKB ETF experienced the largest outflow, losing 725 BTC, bringing its total holdings to 44,982 BTC. Bitwise’s BITB ETF also declined, shedding 66 BTC to a total of 37,910 BTC. Grayscale’s BTC ETF dropped slightly by 1 BTC, maintaining 33,124 BTC.

In contrast, VanEck’s HODL ETF was the only one to report a notable inflow, gaining 339 BTC and raising its total to 11,369 BTC. Other ETFs, including Fidelity’s FBTC, Valkyrie’s BRRR, and Franklin Templeton’s EZBC, remained unchanged in their Bitcoin holdings. Despite these fluctuations, total Bitcoin held across all ETFs stands at 905,558 BTC.

Disclaimer: Market capitalizations and data can vary in real-time. The information provided here is intended purely for educational purposes and should not, under any circumstances, be construed as financial advice.

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LATEST: DZ Bank Collaborates with Boerse Stuttgart to Provide Crypto Services

Germany’s DZ Bank, in collaboration with Boerse Stuttgart Digital, announced on Thursday a groundbreaking initiative to offer cryptocurrency trading and custody services. This strategic partnership enables 700 cooperative banks under DZ Bank’s umbrella to provide their retail clients with direct access to digital assets. The bank’s commitment reflects a significant step in broadening crypto adoption across the country.

The initiative is already underway, with the technical and operational framework being set up. Dr. Matthias Voelkel, CEO of Boerse Stuttgart Group, emphasized the provision of a fully regulated and proven crypto infrastructure to financial institutions throughout Europe. The service rollout is scheduled to start this year, with a testing phase for select retail clients to ensure a seamless transition.

DZ Bank, holding $627 billion in assets, continues to pioneer the integration of cryptocurrencies into traditional banking systems, strengthening Germany’s position as a leading player in the European crypto landscape. This move, following the launch of a crypto custody platform last year, solidifies DZ Bank’s commitment to innovation and digital asset accessibility.

Source

SEC settlements are becoming the cost of doing crypto business

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It’s ‘Gensler Fall’

Whatever the cost of innovation, Rari Capital has footed at least some of the bill.

Both it and Fei Protocol debuted in the aftermath of DeFi Summer in 2020 — a precursor to the 2021 bull run. Yield-farming protocols had run wild, paying out hundreds of percent interest and, in many cases, driving token prices sky-high.

With so much token liquidity flowing into all sorts of pools and protocols, a tidal wave of new projects sought to enable new ways of generating yield.

Simultaneously, more centralized lending…

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