Friday charts: Finding good news, in spite of bad headlines

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“Despite what we hear on the news… the great story of our era is that we are witnessing the greatest improvement in global living standards ever to take place.”

— John Norberg

As years go, 2025 was a pretty good one, I think.

Derek Thompson goes so far as to say it was “an exceptional year for America,” citing, among other things, huge declines in traffic deaths, drug overdoses and suicides, the largest-ever drop in murder rates, and dramatic advances in healthcare.

“This seems to be the first period on record when every major cause of premature death — overdose, auto…

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No Catch, No Gimmick: You Could Get $10 in Free Crypto Right Now

A quiet crypto promotion is giving some people in the U.S. a surprisingly easy way to pick up $10 worth of Bitcoin or Ethereum — and unlike many sign-up bonuses, this one doesn’t demand ongoing trading, referrals, or long-term commitment.

For eligible first-time users, it’s essentially a short window where opening and verifying a new investment account unlocks free crypto that can be converted to cash almost immediately.

There’s no strategy involved, no hoops to jump through, and no expectation that you keep using the platform afterward. If your goal is simply to grab $10 in crypto and move on, that’s very much on the table here.

How the $10 Free Crypto Offer Actually Works

The promotion…

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Fedi To Go Open Source On Bitcoin Genesis Anniversary

Fedi will release its full software stack as open source on Jan. 3, completing a pledge made at launch in 2024.

The company said all Fedi software has now transitioned to the Affero General Public License (AGPL), following an interim period under a business source license. 

The change makes Fedi’s codebase publicly available under a copyleft license that requires derivative works to remain open, according to a spokesperson from Fedi. 

The date carries weight in Bitcoin history. Jan. 3 marks the anniversary of the Bitcoin genesis block, mined in 2009. Fedi said the timing reflects its focus on community ownership and grassroots financial infrastructure.

When Fedi launched, it said…

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Why MSCI’s Upcoming Decision On Bitcoin Treasury Companies Matters

In a move that could shape corporate Bitcoin adoption, index provider MSCI is set to decide whether to exclude companies holding significant Bitcoin reserves from its global benchmarks. The outcome, due January 15, may influence billions in forced selling and set precedents for how Wall Street views Bitcoin as a treasury asset.

MSCI Inc., a New York-based publicly traded company listed on the NYSE with a market capitalization of $43.76 billion and a stock price of $565.68 as of January 2, is a key player in the investment world. It curates over 246,000 equity indexes daily, with more than $18.3 trillion in assets under management benchmarked to them. These indices serve as blueprints…

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Bitcoin Taps $90,000 As Ethereum, Dogecoin, XRP Rally On First Market Day In 2026

Bitcoin spiked above $90,000 heading into the first weekend of 2026, even as spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recorded net outflows this week.

Notable Statistics:

Coinglass data shows 105,578 traders were liquidated in the past 24 hours for $381.05 million.        

SoSoValue data shows net outflows of $348.1 million from spot Bitcoin ETFs on Wednesday. Spot Ethereum ETFs saw net outflows of $72 million.

In the past 24 hours, top losers include Pepe, Floki and Pudgy Penguins.

Notable Developments:

Trader Notes: CryptoCon said Bitcoin has opened the year with a Pi Cycle “death cross,” a signal that historically gains relevance later in the cycle.

According to halving-cycle…

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Michael Saylor Says Bitcoin Makes MSTR ‘Interesting,’ But Polymarket Aren’t So Sure – Strategy (NASDAQ:MSTR)

Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR) executive chairman Michael Saylor says Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) makes the stock “interesting,” but Polymarket traders bet 76% the company gets booted from MSCI by March 31.

Options Activity Dwarfs Mega-Cap Peers

Saylor on Frida pointed to MSTR’s options interest-to-market cap ratio, which now sits at 86.2%—far exceeding derivatives exposure at Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) at 22%, Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:META) at 10.4%, and Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) at 7.2%.

Tech giants like Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Amazon Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN), Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL), and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT) cluster much lower around 3-4%, highlighting how extreme MSTR’s…

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Bitcoin Price Fell In 2025, But Lows Show A Strong Floor

Bitcoin’s price action in 2025 pointed to a market shaped less by speculative and impulsive excess and more by macro forces.

The bitcoin price traded through a wide range last year. According to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data, bitcoin rallied above $126,000 during mid-to-late-year advances fueled by ETF inflows and optimism around U.S. regulatory clarity. Those highs did not hold.

By the fourth quarter, tighter financial conditions and elevated real yields weighed on risk assets. The bitcoin price slid sharply from its peak and ended the year near $87,000. It is on track for its first full-year decline since 2022.

While the drop from the highs was steep and can feel negative,…

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Ethereum Crushes A Record From 2021—So Why Is Price Still Stuck At $3,000?

Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) recorded 1.87 million daily transactions on Dec. 31 but remains trapped under resistance as another failed breakout attempt dashed bulls’ hopes.

Network Activity Explodes To Record Highs

Ethereum’s 7-day moving average of daily transactions hit 1.87 million on Dec. 31, surpassing the previous ATH of 1.61 million from May 2021 during the NFT and DeFi mania according to The Block.

The network also logged 728,904 active addresses—the highest since May 12, 2021—and added 270,160 new addresses in a single day, the biggest daily surge since early 2018.

Nick Ruck, director of LVRG Research, credited the spike to network upgrades that slashed fees, boosted scalability,…

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Bitcoin Stuck At $90,000: 3 Scenarios To Watch In 2026

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) continues to struggle below $90,000, leaving investors uncertain whether 2026 will begin with prolonged consolidation or a decisive macro-driven move.

What Happened: According to CryptoQuant, Bitcoin has entered the new year stuck in a volatile range rather than a clearly defined bull or bear trend.

The on-chain analytics firm outlined three potential scenarios for 2026:

High probability — Range-bound (“twisted range”): Bitcoin trades broadly between $80,000 and $140,000, with $90,000–$120,000 acting as the core zone. This outcome would be driven by uneven capital flows, ETF-driven trading, and derivatives activity.

Medium probability — Macro shock: A… Read more on Benzinga