Prediction markets are assigning a higher possibility that Federal Bureau of Investigation Director Kash Patel will leave the Trump administration this year.

Patel’s Exit Odds Soar

The odds have grown by 44 percentage points in a month. More than $116,000 has poured into bets on Patel’s position.

Odds of National Intelligence Director Tulsi Gabbard’s exit jumped to 63%, placing her behind Patel.

Similarly, traders on Kalshi assigned a 72% chance to Patel’s exit from the Trump administration, marking a 36 percentage point jump in the last 24 hours.

Trump Loyalist To Be Axed?

The jump in odds comes as reports suggest Patel may be next in line after Attorney General Pam Bondi was ousted.

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On Thursday, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) took to X and posted “I have questions for MrBeast,” referring to YouTuber Jimmy Donaldson.

Warren Questions MrBeast’s Move Into Finance

Her post referred to a 12-page letter she sent to MrBeast last month.

In a detailed letter, Warren asked Donaldson and Beast Industries CEO Jeffrey Housenbold to explain the company’s plans following its acquisition of teen-focused fintech app Step.

The lawmaker requested clarity on compliance, marketing practices and safeguards for young users, the New York Times reported.

Crypto Concerns For Teen Users

A key focus of Warren’s inquiry is whether Beast Industries could promote cryptocurrency to minors.

Step…

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Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN) said Thursday it has secured a conditional approval from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency to form a federally chartered national trust company.

Crypto Operations Under Federal Oversight

Coinbase emphasized that it is not transitioning into a “commercial bank” and will not be taking retail deposits or engaging in fractional reserve banking.

“This charter is about bringing federal regulatory uniformity to the custody and market infrastructure business we have been building for years,” the company said.

CEO Brian Armstrong reiterated the point, saying that Coinbase is bringing the “infrastructure of crypto” under federal…

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After months of choppy price action and range-bound trading, April is shaping up as a potentially pivotal month for the crypto market. A growing number of analysts believe the conditions are aligning for a breakout, even as near-term risks continue to keep traders cautious.

Why April Is Getting So Much Attention

The bullish case for April rests on a combination of macro, regulatory, and structural factors that are beginning to converge.

First, regulatory clarity in the United States has improved meaningfully compared to previous years. With clearer guidance around crypto custody, exchange operations, and institutional participation, large financial players are no longer sitting entirely on…

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Blockchain analytics firm Elliptic on Thursday flagged “multiple indicators” that North Korea’s state-sponsored hackers may be behind the $285 million exploit of Drift Protocol, the largest DeFi hack of 2026 so far that wiped out more than half of the Solana-based exchange’s total value locked.

Arthur Hayes, BitMEX co-founder, Maelstrom CIO, and Drift Protocol advisor, pointed the finger at Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) itself.

“If Solana had native multi sig addresses, would the Drift hack even have been possible? Actually curious, not trolling,” Hayes wrote on X.

Ledger CTO Charles Guillemet drew a direct comparison to the $1.4 billion Bybit hack of 2025, which the FBI attributed to…

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According to Alex Pruden, CEO of Project 11, the cryptocurrency industry is dangerously unprepared for quantum computing as a threat.

The Google Breakthrough: Moving The Goalposts

The catalyst for the current panic is a research paper published by Google, which outlines how attackers could crack Bitcoin’s private keys much faster — and with significantly fewer resources — than previously believed.

“This paper is really about lowering the bar or moving the goalposts closer,” Pruden explained.

“If you look at the cryptographers for Bitcoin and specifically look at our architecture and do a bunch of tricks, you can lower that bar way down.”

The Google paper suggests that an…

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