Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) may be approaching a critical phase in its market cycle after a 52% correction from its October 2025 peak, aligning with a key moving average signal seen in late February.

• Why is BTC dropping today?

Transition From Bear To Bull Markets

In a March 30 post on X, crypto analyst Ali Martinez pointed to the three-day chart, where the crossover of the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages has historically marked the transition from bear to bull markets.

In previous cycles, including 2014, 2018 and 2022, this signal occurred after Bitcoin had declined between 50% and 72%.

Following the crossover, markets typically experienced a final capitulation phase within 23 to 33…

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