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Bitcoin Could Drop Another 20% To $48,000 In Worst Case Scenario, Bitwise Exec Says

Three Support Levels Stack Between $48,000 and $61,000

Dragosch mapped out the structural supports sitting beneath current spot price at BTC Prague Thursday. 

The 200-week moving average sits near $61,000, the realized price near $56,000, and the long-term holder cost basis near $48,000. 

Each level represents a zone where historically buyers have stepped in, with $48,000 being the worst-case floor if all three give way.

Despite the bearish downside scenario, Bitwise’s experimental bottom-cycle probability model began ticking higher last week, even as on-chain indicators remain below the extremes that typically mark prior cycle lows. 

Dragosch attributed the recent sell-off primarily to…

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