Asset manager Bitwise released a new report that argues that bitcoin is poised to break from its historical four-year market cycle, setting new all-time highs in 2026 while becoming less volatile and less correlated with equities.

Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougen outlined three forecasts he says matter most for crypto investors: the end of the four-year cycle, continued volatility compression, and declining correlation between BTC and traditional stock markets.

The four-year cycle is ‘significantly weaker’

Bitcoin has historically followed a four-year pattern tied to the halving cycle, typically marked by three years of gains followed by a sharp pullback. Under that…

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