Punters are skeptical that a ban on congressional stock trading will be enacted this year, despite the ongoing conflict‑of‑interest debate.

No Ban This Year?

A Kalshi market on whether members of Congress will be banned from trading stocks before 2027 currently shows just 15% odds in favor. The odds of this happening before Jan. 21, 2029, stood at 57%.

Note that a congressional stock trading ban may still qualify for a “Yes” if lawmakers are permitted to use blind trusts or invest in diversified assets like exchange-traded funds or mutual funds. The restriction only applies to individual stock trading.

A similar bet on Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket showed a 22% chance of a ban…

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