The Polymarket bettor who turned a $33,000 bet on Venezuela-related developments’ into over $400,000 could be a geopolitical insider, a platform that tracks the top trades on the prediction market said on Sunday.

Trader Executes Laser-Focused Geopolitical Strategy

Sonar Pro analyzed the trader’s moves on X, highlighting an “ultra-concentrated” strategy that focused only on geopolitical events.

The bettor placed wagers on just four outcomes — all tied to Venezuela — including “Maduro out by January 31, 2026” and “US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026.” Sonar Pro found it unusual that, unlike other traders, this entity didn’t gamble anything on sports and…

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